Race for the White House coming down to 5 states

If you’ve been following the presidential election you may be scratching your head as to what’s happening.

Can Trump still win? Is Biden actually ahead? What in the world is going on with Arizona?

Adding to the confusion is the fact that multiple news outlets are reporting different results.

As of Thursday evening, most major outlets have Joe Biden with 253 electoral votes and Donald Trump with 214.

The Associated Press and Fox News have Biden at 264 and Trump at 214. Fox and AP have called Arizona for Biden, giving him an additional 11 electoral votes.

If Biden actually has Arizona and he gets any of the remaining states, other than Alaska, then he is the President.

For the sake of simplification, we’re going to assume that Arizona is still up in the air.

This election has come down to five key undecided states. Trump won all of them in 2016, except Nevada.

Here is how a potential victory in each remaining state shapes the race to 270 electoral votes.

 

All results as of 11:59 p.m. on Wednesday

PENNSYLVANIA – 20 electoral votes

Trump leads by 2.6% with 89% reporting – AP

Pennsylvania carries the most weight out of all remaining states.

If Biden wins Pennsylvania, regardless of which tally you’re looking, he wins the election.

Trump has to win Pennsylvania to get reelected. But he also would need at least three of the five remaining states.

He would have to have Georgia to win. Then if he picked up North Carolina and Arizona it would seal it. If he loses either if those he has to win both Nevada and Alaska.

 

GEORGIA – 16 electoral votes

Trump leads by 0.8% with 98% reporting – AP

If Biden wins Georgia then Trump has no path to victory. Trump could only tie and he could only do so if he were to win every other state.

If Trump picks up Georgia along with Pennsylvania he would need a combination of North Carolina with Arizona and/or Nevada.

 

NORTH CAROLINA – 15 electoral votes

Trump leads by 1.4% with 94% reporting – AP

If Biden wins North Carolina then Trump would have to win every other remaining state. In that case only, Trump would win the election.

If Trump wins North Carolina along with Pennsylvania he would need a combination of Georgia with Arizona and/or Nevada.

 

ARIZONA – 11 electoral votes

Biden leads by 2.8% with 86% reporting – AP

Again, AP and Fox News have called Arizona for Biden. Though this is shrouded in controversy.

NBC News is reporting roughly 200 people have gathered outside of the Maricopa election centre demanding that Republican eyes be allowed into the vote processing room.

https://twitter.com/GadiNBC/status/1324187296984231936

If Biden wins Arizona and then picks up any other state besides Alaska he wins the election.

If Trump flips Arizona red, plus wins Pennsylvania, he would need Georgia and North Carolina, or every state but Georgia.

RELATED: Trump backers converge on vote centres in Michigan, Arizona

 

NEVADA – 6 electoral votes

Biden leads by 0.6% with 75% reporting

If Biden wins Nevada and takes any other state besides Alaska, he wins the election.

If Trump wins Nevada and Pennsylvania, he would need Georgia with North Carolina and/or Arizona/Alaska to become president.

 

ALASKA – 3 electorial votes

Trump leads by 28.6% with 50% reporting

Alaska hasn’t been decided, though it will almost surely go to Trump. With 50% of the ballots counted he holds a 28-point lead over Biden.

Trump would still need to win every other remaining state in addition to Alaska.