It’s like a technology-themed reality TV dating show.
Suitor Amazon is on the hunt for a North American city to house what it calls HQ2: a second headquarters. The ideal match will tick off most of a wide-ranging list of requirements that covers practical matters, like available buildings and green space, as well as a certain je ne sais quoi that, for example, helps it attract tech talent.
Many Canadian cities consider Amazon a catch. After all, the tech titan is promising up to 50,000 high-paying jobs and a US$5-billion investment. Vancouver, Montreal, Toronto, Halifax, Ottawa, Edmonton and Calgary have all promised to submit proposals by Thursday, the deadline for those looking to woo the firm into their regions.
But while the possibility of a Canadian city turning into the next Seattle — Amazon’s existing home — is tempting, experts say it’s a risky proposition that comes with some drawbacks, like making operations more challenging for local technology companies.
“An investment this large would fundamentally alter a town,” said Dan Shaw, a lecturer at Dalhousie University’s Rowe School of Business in Halifax.
Other businesses, including local startups, that employ highly-skilled technology workers may struggle to compete, he said.
A company may have relied on hiring new graduates from the local university for starting salaries of $60,000, Shaw explained, but Amazon has deep pockets and could push the bar for salaries higher by offering closer to $90,000 for entry-level jobs.
Canada is already facing a tech talent shortage, partially due to a brain drain as desirable candidates are lured to Silicon Valley. By 2020, there’ll be a lack of qualified workers to fill about 218,000 positions, according to the Information and Communications Technology Council’s projections.
Adding Amazon’s demand for tens of thousands of full-time workers would put further pressure on the industry, said Kyle Murray, vice-dean of the Alberta School of Business at the University of Alberta in Edmonton.
While that’s a concern for any local companies trying to attract workers from an insufficient talent pool, he said it’s good for society to have increased competition.
Some Canadian tech leaders have grumbled about the incentives Amazon’s asking for and city proposals are likely to include.
The proposals are private and many competitors haven’t disclosed the incentives they’ll offer, if any. The city of Toronto said the day before the deadline it wouldn’t offer any new financial incentives, but it’s clear they’re a big factor in Amazon’s choice.
The tech giant — which has a market value of nearly half a billion dollars — asks for incentives, including tax credits and/or exemptions, and various grants, in its request for proposals. Initial and ongoing business costs “are critical decision drivers,” the company said.
“The concern, of course, is that it becomes a race to the bottom,” said Sherena Hussain, an assistant professor at York University’s Schulich School of Business in Toronto.
The successful city could also find itself in a situation in which the company makes up such a large portion of its economy that it must continue giving it preferential treatment so it doesn’t leave town, said Shaw.
Though, he noted that “massively scalable organizations don’t grow on trees,” so Amazon does present an exciting opportunity.
— John Tory (@JohnTory) October 19, 2017
Businesses aside, the advent of an Amazon headquarters could also create problems for local citizens.
Tens of thousands of new workers earning an average of more than US$100,000 would substantially raise housing prices and the overall cost of living, Shaw said. It could also create transportation problems as the employees increase the number of people commuting via public transit and roads.
These issues presented themselves in Seattle after Amazon built its headquarters there in 2010. Still, former mayor Greg Nickels has said he considers the growth Amazon brought worthwhile and a better alternative to being a Detroit or Cleveland.