TORONTO, Ont. - On the last day of campaigning, Wednesday, three polls paint different pictures of the Ontario political landscape, in terms of who is in the lead.
The difference is by as much as 13 points.
The latest poll by Angus Reid for the
Toronto Star has the Tories ahead of the Liberals by three points, at 36 per cent and 33 per cent, respectively. The NDP has 26 per cent public support.
However, an Abacus survey for the
Toronto Sun has the Liberals ahead by the same three-point margin, with the NDP at 24 per cent.
Both these numbers suggest a minority government for either party.
But, the Ipsos poll released Tuesday night show the Liberals heading for a majority, with a 10 point lead at 41 per cent. The Tories are at 31 per cent and NDP at 25 per cent.
Ipsos vice-president John Wright told 680News this poll could mean McGuinty will be heading back to Queen's Park with a majority of seats.
"In order to get a majority government in the province of Ontario, you're usually looking at about 42 per cent of the electorate voting for you. It doesn't take a majority to get a majority," Wright said.
"Right now, we're just on the cusp, we have 41 per cent, if they get their vote out. And if the other parties are a little anemic in certain parts of the province, I think we are looking at a potential majority."
So, the bottom line on the polling picture is that two polls put the Liberals ahead -- one by three percentage points and the other by 10 percentage points. While the third poll puts the Hudak Tories out-front by three percentage points.