If the election were held today Olivia Chow would win with 36 per cent of the vote, according to a new poll by Forum Research.
The random sample of public opinion asked 1271 Torontonians who they would vote for on Thursday, March 13, the day Chow entered the race.
Mayor Rob Ford would net 28 per cent of the vote, with John Tory in third with 22 per cent.
Karen Stintz and David Soknacki are distant competitors, with 5 and 2 per cent of the vote respectively.
“By actually entering the race after standing on the sidelines for so long, Olivia Chow appears to have stolen the wind from John Tory’s sails, and left both he and Rob Ford in her wake,” said Forum Research President Dr. Lorne Bozinoff in a press release.
In February, before Chow officially entered the race, she was polling at 31 per cent, with Ford at 31 per cent and Tory at 27 per cent.
Just three in 10 of those polled say they would vote for Ford no matter what (31 per cent), which is down slightly from the 38 per cent that said the same in the last poll.
Chow polls especially well with young, mid income voters, those who live downtown, rent, and take public transit.
Ford’s support comes mainly from Etobicoke, York, and Scarborough, middle aged voters, and drivers.
The results based on the total sample are considered accurate between three percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Torontonians go to the polls Oct. 27, 2014.